New York Jets vs. New York Giants – 11/10/19 NFL Pick, Odds, and Prediction
Date & Time Sunday November 10, 2019, 1:00 PM (EST)
Location: MetLife Stadium East Rutherford, N.J.
TV Channel: FOX
The battle of New York — in New Jersey — will take place on Sunday when two of the worst teams in the NFL face off at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford. The Jets (1-7) will be the designated home team Sunday afternoon in their games against the Giants (2-7). The Jets haven’t won since Oct. 13 and the Giants haven’t seen a win since September.
It was just days after the Jets’ first and only win of the season — a 24-22 victory over Dallas — when quarterback Sam Darnold was quoted as saying “Once all the guys are back together, I think we’re unstoppable as an offense — or we can be. It’s just up to us and how we execute. It’s really up to us how many points we score, I think.” Well, apparently the Jets haven’t wanted to score very much because in the three games since that comment, Darnold’s team is 0-3 and is averaging just 11 points per game.
The Jets had an excuse early on when Darnold was injured, but they really don’t have any excuses at this point, especially for a team that he described as being “…up to us how many points we score.” The Jets have gained the least amount of yards in the NFL, are the worst passing team in the league, and are the least scoring offense averaging just 12.0 points per game. Combine that with a defense that ranks third to last in the AFC allowing 26.4 points per game, and it’s no surprise that the Jets are only 1-7.
Darnold is the team’s leading passer despite missing three games with mononucleosis. He has completed 63.2 percent of his passes for 1,077 yards and six touchdowns but has been picked off nine times for an average of nearly two per game. Le’Veon Bell is the team’s leading rusher but is averaging just 51.2 yards per game and has but a lone touchdown on the season. Bell is listed as questionable for the game with a knee injury, and the Jets will also be without wide receiver Josh Bellamy and cornerback Trumaine Johnson who were placed in the IR this week.
What could help a team in such dire straits? A game with the Giants, a team with a worse defense and only slightly better offense. When looking at the Giants defense, it is amazing they have two wins this season. Look at it this way: The Giants have allowed at least 27 points to every opponent they have faced this year except one. That one was a 24-3 win over Washington. But 27 or more points to every other opponent? It’s hard to fathom.
The Giants are the second-worst team in the NFL in points allowed this season and are just one point better than Miami in that category. The Giants also rank in the NFL’s bottom five in rushing yards and passing yards allowed, as well as second-to-last in total yards allowed with Arizona just edging the Giants in that category.
Daniel Jones is learning on the job for the Giants at quarterback, looking strong at times and showing athleticism in his ability to run the ball. He has passed for 1,676 yards and 11 touchdowns, but he has also tossed eight picks. Saquon Barkley is a proven star but has an unproven line to block for him, so Barkley has been limited for just 401 yards in his six games played with two touchdowns.
Both teams are nearly 50-50 against the spread and with the total, but one stat stands out among all the rest when looking at these two teams, who are both simply bad on all accounts. That stat is that when the Giants are road underdogs, which they are considered in this game, the over has hit all four times. And it hasn’t just hit all four times, but it has hit by an average of nearly 10 points per game. It makes sense — two awful defenses and at least one offense that is “unstoppable” at least in one quarterback’s mind. Take the over and watch these horrible defenses stumble in New Jersey.
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EAST RUTHERFORD, N.J. (AP) Tom Brady and the New England Patriots are still rolling right along with a high-powered offense and a stingy defense that has their record blemish-free.
The New York Jets look a bit different, though, from the team Bill Belichick’s bunch beat 30-14 less than a month ago. And, it all starts at quarterback.
Luke Falk was under center then, making his first NFL start and looking overwhelmed and overmatched. Sam Darnold is back this time around, fully recovered from mononucleosis and coming off one of the best performances of his young career.
”He’s a big, strong kid that can stand in the pocket and he’s hard to tackle,” Belichick said. ”He’s not an easy guy to bring down. He’s big, he can see and find guys under pressure.”
Darnold showed no signs of rust after missing three games because of his illness, going 23 of 32 for 338 yards and two TDs with an INT in a 24-22 win over Dallas and being selected the AFC’s offensive player of the week.
”Well, the quarterback makes a big difference,” Belichick said. ”They’ve gotten other players back on both sides of the ball. Coach Gase had the bye week and probably had an opportunity to get some things reworked. That was obvious in the Dallas game that their execution and some of the things they were doing they were just more efficient at and looked better doing them.”
It was a big boost for what had been a badly struggling Jets offense. Darnold’s day was highlighted by his 92-yard touchdown throw to Robby Anderson, the longest offensive play in the NFL this season and the second-longest in franchise history.
Now, Darnold and the Jets hope to use that momentum to get something going against the Patriots’ top-ranked defense at MetLife Stadium in a prime-time showdown. New York is also expecting linebacker C.J. Mosley, sidelined since injuring his groin in the season opener, to return Monday night.
”You’ve got to continue to grind,” Darnold said. ”We know that after a good win, you’ve got to come right back in here because we got a tough one Monday night against the Pats. We know what our job is, we’ve just got to come in and get back to work.”
The Patriots are off to a 6-0 start for the fourth time in team history, with a chance to get to 7-0 for just the third time. They also have a chance to sweep the two-game regular-season series against the Jets for the fourth straight year.
Brady is 28-6 against the Jets in the regular season, including seven straight wins. He’s also 16-7 in Monday night games, including 2-0 against New York. Meanwhile, Belichick is 18-8 on Monday nights – but just 9-7 in those games on the road.
”Monday night is always a high-energy game,” Belichick said. ”We’ll point to that and know it’s always tough down there in New York. So, we need to have a good week here and be ready to go.”
Here are some other things to know for the latest Patriots-Jets showdown:
BEEN A WHILE
The Jets and Patriots play on a Monday night for the eighth time, and New York leads those matchups 4-3.
The previous time the AFC East rivals squared off on ”Monday Night Football” was in 2010, when New England cruised to a 45-3 victory.
It’s also the first time the Patriots are playing a Monday night game on the road against the Jets since 2005, when they won 31-21.
The Patriots entered Week 7 allowing a league-low eight points per game. One of the reasons is how stingy their defense has been on third down.
New England has held teams to an NFL-low 10 of 73 (13.7 percent) conversion rate in those situations. The fewest third downs allowed in a 16-game season is 49 by the 1991 New Orleans Saints.
In their Week 3 win over the Jets, the Patriots did not allow a third-down conversion, which is something New England has accomplished five times since 2000. Only five teams have not allowed a third down twice in the same season – the Packers (2005), Eagles (2009), Giants (2010), Dolphins (2011) and Saints (2018).
Le’Veon Bell hasn’t had a breakout-type game for the Jets, but the fluid quarterback situation certainly hasn’t helped.
With Darnold back and the offensive line improving the past few weeks, the star running back could start seeing some more opportunities to make plays. He has 256 yards rushing and a TD on 85 carries for a 3.0 average, and 28 catches for 169 yards and a score.
”Hopefully we can open it up a little bit for him,” coach Adam Gase said. ”We’ve seen a lot of loaded boxes, he’s had a lot of tough runs. He’s made the most of what he’s had and probably gotten us more than what we should have.”
WELCOME BACK, WATSON
Tight end Ben Watson is back for another stint with the Patriots and it’s right on time for an offense looking for some stability and more production from the position.
The 38-year-old Watson was re-signed by New England on Wednesday, less than a week after being released. Belichick left the door open for Watson to return, saying he was cut simply because there wasn’t an available roster spot once he returned from serving a four-game suspension for a positive banned substance test following last season.
Circumstances changed when Matt LaCosse injured his knee during the Patriots’ win over the Giants on Thursday.
Without Rob Gronkowski, the Patriots haven’t gotten a ton of production in the pass game from their tight ends. LaCosse and Ryan Izzo have combined for only nine catches for 169 yards.
Michael Bennett will be missing from the Patriots’ defensive huddle on Monday night.
The defensive end was suspended for what he said in a statement to ESPN was a ”philosophical disagreement” with defensive line coach Bret Bielema. Bennett also offered an apology for any distraction it might have created.
Belichick declined to comment when asked about the suspension this week.
The Patriots traded for the 11-year veteran in March, but his usage has steadily decreased over New England’s first six games. Bennett has started just once and played a season-low 11 snaps in the Patriots’ win over the Giants in Week 6.
New York Jets
The New York Jets are a professional American football team based in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The Jets compete in the National Football League (NFL) as a member club of the league’s American Football Conference (AFC) East division. The team is headquartered in Florham Park, New Jersey. In a unique arrangement for the league, the Jets share MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey with the New York Giants. The franchise is legally and corporately registered as New York Jets, LLC.
The team was founded in 1959 as the Titans of New York, an original member of the American Football League (AFL); later, the franchise joined the NFL in the AFL–NFL merger in 1970. The team began play in 1960 at the Polo Grounds. Under new ownership, the current name was adopted in 1963 and the franchise moved to Shea Stadium in 1964 and then to the Meadowlands Sports Complex in 1984. The Jets advanced to the playoffs for the first time in 1968 and went on to compete in Super Bowl III where they defeated the Baltimore Colts, becoming the first AFL team to defeat an NFL club in an AFL–NFL World Championship Game. Since 1968, the Jets have appeared in the playoffs 13 times, and in the AFC Championship Game four times, most recently losing to the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2010. However, the Jets have never returned to the Super Bowl, making them one of three NFL teams to win their lone Super Bowl appearance, along with the New Orleans Saints and Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Apart from the Cleveland Browns and Detroit Lions, who have never reached the Super Bowl (although both won NFL championships prior to 1966), the Jets’ drought is the longest among current NFL franchises.
The team’s training facility, Atlantic Health Jets Training Center, which opened in 2008, is located in Florham Park. The team currently holds their annual training camp sessions in Florham Park, New Jersey.